Wide Receivers SKYROCKETING in Value (2024 Fantasy Football)

Wide Receivers SKYROCKETING in Value (2024 Fantasy Football)

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About This Episode

13:21 minutes

published 11 days ago

English

Copyright 2017 All rights reserved.

Speaker 00s - 330.2s

What's going on, guys? It's Nick PERSON here. Back in the video, today we're talking about some wide receivers that have seen their value go way up, thanks to the draft and frequency. First up, we have Zay Flowers PERSON. The Ravens did draft a wide receiver, but they only spent a mid-fourth rounder on DeVontes Walker or Tess Walker PERSON. Walker PERSON, you know, is really just a deep threat.And I think that's a valuable role on the Ravens ORG, although they have a lot of deep threats on the team. But it's a valuable role the Ravens ORG want to have on their offense. They want to improve in that area. And so from like a real life football perspective, good pick. In fantasy, like, I don't know, like De Montez Walker PERSON does not play the same role as Zay Flowers PERSON.Like he's going to fill that deep role. He's going to kind of rotate with Batman with agglore PERSON if they're still keeping agglars um i believe they gave him a small contract but the point is aglar baitman vontes walker PERSON like they're going to all kind of fill that role but aside from those three like they're such you know little i guess little talent in this wide receiver room that flowers should really build off his rookie season he's got a really locked-in floor he is going to be the most targeted wide receiver on that Flowers should really build off his rookie season. He's got a really locked in floor.He is going to be the most targeted wide receiver on a per game basis this season. So I understand people's concerns about Andrews PERSON, right? Because Andrews was injured last season or for like a chunk of last season. And obviously that benefits flowers when someone's off the field like that. But I think people kind of overstate the impact it really had. Like flowers averaged 0.4 more receptions for nine more yards with Andrews PERSON out.So yeah, it benefited him. But it wasn't like he had an extra three or four catches every game for 40 yards. Like it was less than half a reception for less than 10 yards as a difference. I really think flower PERSON is a great wide receiver he fits this offense really nicely he's going to have a ton of targets especially in full ppr leagues he's going to be a really really strong pick this season and i guess just the confidence we have and them not going after anyone in the free agency to like or in free agencyor the draft to really compete with flowers as that one speaks to their level of confidence and so stock up for him. Another winner is George Pickens, you know, the Steelers no longer have Deonté Johnson PERSON or Alan Robinson PERSON. So that's 136 targets last season and prior years for just Deonté Johnson PERSON. It was closer to like 150.Pre-draft like they did add, you know, Van Jefferson PERSON, Kwez Watkins, Denzel Mims. During the draft, they added Roman Wilson in like the mid to late third round. That's not much, right? That's not really any competition for George Pickens PERSON. Now, I know Arthur Smith PERSON, you know, our arch nemesis,is now the offensive coordinator that's gonna make you want to throw up but how much of an impact so it's bad right like obviously that means it's gonna be run heavy that means we're gonna be a bad offense but how bad can it be knowing that like it's really bad for the wide receiver core behind George Pickens van quez Kwez, Denzel, like, they have never commanded targets in the NFL ORG.Roman Wilson PERSON is like a slot-only receiver. Like, Pickens PERSON are just locked in to a really strong target share. And so I know he takes a hard hit with Arthur Smith PERSON being the offensive coordinator, but they truly have no one else to throw to. And so he's a big winner in that sense at the very least. He was a loser when we knew that offensive coordinator was going to be out there,Smith, but them losing Deonté Johnson, losing Alan Robinson PERSON, doing very little to replace that. He's so locked in that his ADP of the Wider's 8th, isn't some massive steel, but it is absolutely fair, absolutely something that I would take advantage of. Another big time winner is Jameson Williams. Like I definitely thought that the Lions ORG would draft awide receiver, but they went with defense. They went with offensive line. That leaves Khalif Raymond PERSON, Donof People's Jones, Treyquan Smith behind, of course, Munner St. Brown, and Jameson Williams PERSON. Like, we'll see if that holds throughout the summer. I still am skeptical that it will. Like, but if it does, then, you know, Williams is going to be on the field pretty much every snap as their wide receiver two. And of course, he's going to have incredible upside.Now, the offense still flows through St. Brown, the running backs, Laporta PERSON. Williams PERSON is going to be after that. So it's not like he's the number two option on the offense, and he's never going to be their wide receiver one. But we know that he has a very, very high weekly ceiling. He's the perfect player to throw into that flex spot,knowing that you're taking a little bit of risk that the floor is a little bit lower. But if he's out there, you know, like 80% of snaps, as their second wide receiver, he's going to have a lot of very high ceiling weeks, a lot of weeks where he hits that, you know, 100 and a touchdown, 150, and 2. That's something he's capable of where many players are just not capable of that. And so putting that in your flex spot, it gives you a lot of upside, which we really want in fantasy. This will also be in the first off season where he's not suspended or coming off a major injury.So he's actually going to be able to play, if he doesn't get hurt again. He's going to be able to play in the first month of the season. He's going to have that summer to really develop and that chemistry. And so I really think that his progress, like, if we think about, like, how highly rated a prospect he was, how early they took him, how invested they are in him.

Speaker 1330.26s - 381.36s

Like, they clearly recognize the talent. But I think his progress has been slowed a lot because of the suspension, because of the injury he had, you know, going into his rookie season. Then he had another injury during his rookie season. Like injury, suspension. Like, it's just been a theme with Williamss PERSON he's never just been healthy for big stretch and so i think that has you know stunted hispotential or his like progression in the nfl but we need to remember like how much they do like him how much potential he does have and overall i think the biggest takeaway for me is that if dan campbell's excited i'm excited. If Dan Campbell has confidence in Jameson Williams PERSON, I have confidence in Jameson Williams. And to me, them not bringing in another wide receiver in the draft and free agency to really compete for that wide receiver to roll. To me, signals his confidence, which means we should be confident.

Speaker 0382.02s - 800.66s

Another winner after the draft is a polarizing one, Keon Coleman PERSON. Now, the fact that he's a winner is not polarizing. Everyone's going to agree that landing on Buffalo with the first pick in round two, you know, that's going to benefit you. That's going to increase your value. Your value skyrockets.That's why you're in this video. That's obvious. I think where people are going to debate is, is he good? Like, is he actually going to be a good NFL ORG-wide receiver? I don't know. I'm skeptical.As many of you know, I've been a little bit, I don't want to say a hater, but I have been down on him thus far in the off season because he's not just the type of prospect I like. I like good route runners. I like people who create separation on their own. Because if you're not getting a scheme deluxe, you know,when you're in a two-minute drill and we're really just out there seeing, can you get open? I'm not scheming you a specific play to get open. Can you get open on your own? That's what separates the good fantasy players from the great ones. And I was hoping that they would draft someone that could be a great fantasy playerthat could create on their own to where you'll scheme them open and Josh Allen will, you know, when they're not open, still get them to football. But then if they're also getting open on their own, well, that's why Stefan Diggs was so good in Buffalo ORG because he was able to do that. I don't like that a lot of Coleman PERSON's production came on contested catches, came on screen passes. I don't like that he was awful against man coverage, against press coverage. He was fine against zone, but nothing special.And that would all be okay if he was just like a big slot receiver, right? If you just threw him into the slot and you're like, listen, you're okay against zone, get open against zone, we'll scheme you some looks. That can work right but who do they have they have curtis samuel and they have clel sheer PERSON he's not playing in the slot like he's going to be their ex receiver and that's not what i think he is so i don't love it um i recognize that digs and gave davis free up 241 targets which is a lot i recognize that theiggs and Gabe Davis free up 241 targets, which is a lot.I recognize that the potential is here for someone to have an awesome season in Buffalo ORG. To me, wait a little bit, take a shot on Curtis Samuel, take a shot on Shakir PERSON, go earlier, take your tight end, take Dalton Kincaid, like, you know, take James Cook PERSON, like, I don't know. If you really want to capitalize on all those targets being gone, all that opportunity being there, I think it's the other players. For me, I think Coleman PERSON's going to be hype too much, not to a player I'm going to go for.Moving into the later rounds, O'Dell PERSON has been skyrocketing and value, of course, after signing with the Dolphins ORG. Honestly, I'm not buying it. No player has seen their ADP rise more than Odell the last week, though. So, like, since Best Best Well Mania opened, no player has seen their ADP rise more than Odell Beckham Jr. PERSON So he has to make this list, right? People are excited that he's onthe Dolphins. But he's still going the exact same spot as Malik Washington PERSON. I would rather have Washington. O'Dell hasn't topped 600 yards in a season since before the pandemic. His contract's only $3 million. That's less than KJ Osborne got in New England. So I had to mention him, right, because obviously it's a good landing spot. When you land on the Miami Dolphins ORG, it's a great landing spot.You've got potential. I don't see it with Odell PERSON. I'm not going to be drafting. Final name I want to talk about is an interesting one. And that's Jalen McMillan PERSON. Godwin, we got word from the wide receiver coach of the Bucks ORG.Godwin's moving back into the slot this season and three-order-series sets. Don't freak out about that if you have like, let's say, Godwin PERSON a dynasty, if you did a really early draft for like best ball or something. Don't freak out about that being really bad for Godwin PERSON, being like, oh, no, he's only playing the slot. No, in two wide receiver sets, it is Evans and it is Godwin PERSON.That is still going to be the case. In three wide receiver sets, though, they're switching back to putting Godwin PERSON always in the slot there, because, and this is the important part, because they've talked about how McMillan PERSON can play three different positions at wide receiver. They can move him around the formation and he can win on the outside. Now, he does profile as more of a slot wide receiver.So to me, the excitement is, okay, if they feel good about this right now in saying that they're going to use McMillan PERSON on the outside, that they're pumped to have even gotten him in round three in such a good wide receiver class like they're clearly very high on him and there's absolutely potential there right and they also talked about how um something that i've thought about this off season like you know they were happy to get him in round three because had he not gotten injured last season there's no way he would have gone in round three that's what they're saying and i kind that. Like, you know, my model is not like in love with him.It basically thinks it was appropriate where they got him. But that's the flaw sometimes of these analytical models when people get hurt because the models basically being like, well, he didn't have a true amazing season, true breakout season. He had a really good year, two years ago. And then, of course, he gets injured last year. So we don't know. And it's like, yeah, but it's at least like we should understand that it's possible he could have had a really really good seasonlast year like in 2022 he had four more receptions and two more touchdowns than room of dunes who of course goes sixth overall and is you know a mid round pick already in fantasy so he outproduces a dunes day two years ago. Then last year, he starts the season, 8 for 95 and 2 touchdowns, 8 for 120 and a touchdown, 4 for 96 gets injured, misses some time, comes back late in the season, obviously not 100%.I mean, think about it. Like imagine a scenario where he doesn't get injured, where he has, you know, a great season last year, as he was trending to do. And he goes in there around two to the box. Let's say he still lands on the bucks. Like, and then we get this news that Godwin PERSON's going to be a full-time slot receiver,that they're going to want to get McMillan PERSON on the field. Like, he would not be going in round 20, where he's going right now. So I'm not saying he's a lot to break out. But right now he's probably my favorite sleeper, my favorite pick in round 20. Just like, again,the way that they're already talking about him, I think he's easily past Trey Palmer PERSON. Like, I think he's easily past that. On Depp PERSON chart, going to get a ton of opportunity early in the season. And I really think he might be a very, very good playerand he capitalized on that. So if you want to take advantage of that, you want to draft him late on underdog, I'm absolutely doing that right now. If you haven't signed up yet for Underdog ORG, use promo code FFA. You're going to get your deposit matched up to $250.You're going to get a special pickam in the lobby. You're going to get access to my Underdog ORG rankings for the rest of the season for free. So again, if you want to take advantage of some of these ADPs, promo code FFA on Underdog ORG. So if you watch this far, be sure to hit the like button. If you're new here, want to hit subscribe button as well. We'll be back tomorrow with seven players, you'll regret drafting.And then Monday for, of course, another mock draft Monday. Then, my friends, is in this one. Hope you all enjoy if you did. Have you hang the like button and how about subscribe to the channel. If you're new here, thanks for watching.