Falcons schedule release extravaganza ft. Aaron Freeman: The Falcoholic Live, Ep287

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Speaker 2123.92s - 149.42s

Welcome to another episode of The Falcolic Live. I'm your host Kevin Knight. I have Falcalfe, Kevin Joy, by my co-host. As always, he is Adnan. It's NFL schedule release night. Are you just so excited? You know, now that, because we, you know, wait, I'm hearing that we actually already knew who the teams were. This is just the weeks. Okay, so, no, it's still very exciting. How are you doing today? I'm doing well, I'm actually really impressed that we started on time

Speaker 3149.42s - 155.58s

tonight. Well, we almost never do that. It's normally always closer to like 805, 806. Yeah,

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I know there's some late arriving viewers that are, you know, going to show up at like 806 TIME and be like, wait, what do you mean they're talking about like five minutes already? Yeah, we got, we got to like, we got to do some where we start right at eight so that way we can get people to actually, you know, be in here waiting at eight o'clock. But, uh, you know, we'll work on that overtime. We got all off season to get that to get back on schedule here. But yeah, guys, we got schedule release to talk about. We've already heard the biggest piece of news, of course, which is that the Falcons are slated to have not one, not two, not three, but four prime time games at least that we know of in the 2024 schedule after having zero in 2020. So what a difference a quarterback can make, certainly for your team, and two quarterbackseven in the case of the Falcons ORG. So we will see what the rest of the schedule looks like. We'll get to that. We'll start talking about that and then we will be joined uh shortly by aaron freeman he's i believe coming off another show so as soon as he wraps up uh he'll be over here to join us and talk about this schedule release so yes and i know that it is officially uh release now so you can you know what will all be like monitoring uh you know i believe it's allbeen tweeted out like they're almost like it was coordinated on on you know that all of the team accounts sent out the schedule all at once so uh but yes i know the falcons NORP just dropped uh their video so i'm sure we'll be we'll be breaking that down at some point uh i know it's supposed to be nfl street theme so that seems like a fun, fun time. But before...

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I do a good job with that stuff.

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I really enjoyed the Game of Thrones one a few years ago.

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You know, that was very fun.

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And yeah, I feel like that's one of those where if you're in the media room for any of these NFL ORG teams, you can really sort of have your creative juices flowing a little bit. And I'm sure it's a very exciting time and a very fun time for them. Yes, it is. So we will get to break that down in

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just a moment, folks, before we do real quick. I'm going to bring your word from today's sponsor, betonline.org, folks, bet online is your number one source for all your summer sports this season from MLB, golf, NBA, and NHL playoffs. Adnan, if people had bet on the Hawks getting the number one overall pick in the NBA draft, how much money do you think they would have made off of that transaction?

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Well, a lot because the Hobbs had a 3% chance of getting that number one pick. And nobody should ever bet on the NBA ORG drop lottery because the odds are literally set.

Speaker 5306.16s - 306.36s

And sorry, I'm eating Skittles. bet on the NBA ORG drop lottery because the odds are literally set. And

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sorry, I'm eating Skittles PRODUCT.

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And these sports

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like give you worse odds than what the odds are that are already set. So you have to be, you know,

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call a number if you're betting on the NBA

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drop lottery. But you know what?

Speaker 3321.92s - 326.32s

Go hawks. Number one pick, man, I'm so excited. Yeah.

Speaker 2326.44s - 337.36s

I'm so excited. This is just what we needed. Well, that's what I had heard was that the draft was kind of weak, except for the number one pick. And it's like,oh, yeah, it's still a good number one pick. But like, you know, after that it's a little bit interesting. But, yeah,

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I'm excited to see what happened. That's not my problem. No,

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I don't get what happened after the number one pick, you know? Yeah. See, this is just proof that tanking never pays, you know.

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Tamping never pays Pistons ORG.

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I'll leave that to the Wizards fans and the Pistons ORG fans to worry about. Yes, this is an NFL ORG show in case you guys are tuning in right now. You're like, wait, why are we talking about the Hawks ORG? But guys, you could get all the latest stats, news, and scores available as you follow your favorite teams on your path to the playoffs by going to bed online. Dot A.G.The latest team matchups, odds, lines, player props, and just about every sport out there, they've got it. So what do you wait for? Folks, head to that website, betonline.ag today or use your mobile device to get in on the action, Ben Online where the game starts. All right.Well, let's real quick, I have seen the full schedule. I'm still, you know, processing. But before we get into the schedule itself, let's real quick, I have seen the full schedule. I'm still, you know, processing. But before we get into the schedule itself, let's talk about the big deal, which is, of course, at the Falcons ORG. After not having any prime time games in last year for the first time in recent NFL history, I think, that the Falcons ORG didn't have a single one. They now have four just a year later. What a difference one off season can make,

Speaker 3405.88s - 469.32s

Adnan? Yeah. And I mean, it's a huge difference that, you know, let's be honest, the quarterback position is made because I feel like the Falcons already had a very good promising young team last year, especially remember after the draft pick of Be Bijon Robinson, one of the most exciting draft picks made in last year's draft. I remember watching literally right after, you know, the draft ended, they led Sports Center ORG with the Bijon Robinson pick. Well, they led Sports Center after, with the Falcons pick this year as well, but, you know, for different reasons on that one.But yeah, it was like such an exciting, you know, for different reasons on that one. But yeah, it was like such an exciting, you know, conversation and such an exciting time. And I feel like the one thing holding the Falcons back from getting, you know, a large number of these nationally televised games last year was the fact the questions at the quarterback position. And looking back, you know what? The national TV partners made a hell of a decision shutting the Falcons ORG out because, you know what? The national TV partners made a hell of a decision shutting the Falcons ORG out because, you know, nobody was trying to watch Desmond Ritter

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on national television. But Kirk Cousins PERSON is a proven commodity, even though he, you know,

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has historically and, you know, rather imprimously had some of his struggles on prime time in the past. You look pretty good in prime time last year with the Vikings ORG, though. Yeah.

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So, yeah, it's a super exciting time.

Speaker 3490.44s - 511.32s

And yeah, it is definitely what the difference a quarterback can make because that sort of has unlocked the entire Falcons ORG like Young Corps to this now national TV audience because, you know, the Falcon ORG sure as hell did not get these games because of what they've done or what they've proven in the past because, you know,

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they won seven games last year all the same as the year before.

Speaker 3514.98s - 549.8s

They're getting these games because of what the promise is for the future. And, you know, apparently these national television partners in the NFL obviously believe that the Atlanta Falcons ORG are going to be, you know, a team to really watch and they're going to really play a factor. I mean, three of the first four games are nationally televised games. That's more than the last three years combined.Like the last two seasons combined, the team has had one Thursday night game a couple years ago. And that's only because the NFL mandated that everyone has to have at least one a couple years ago.

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And now in weeks two and three, they have more than they had in the last three years combined.

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And the actual primetime games, you know, not this deli-dally like, you know, Thursday night.

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No offense to Amazon, the Thursday night game.

Speaker 3563.74s - 590.1s

But let's be honest. The Sunday night game is like, that's the one up here, and then it's Monday night, and then it's Thursday night after that. The Falcons have Monday night football against the Eagles in week two, and then they have Sunday night football against the Chiefs right after that in week three. So, you know, let's roll. And another Monday night game, week 16against the Raiders ORG as well. So that's, that's what, four in one season.

Speaker 2590.22s - 608.24s

That's more than I could ask for. And that's honestly more than I even expected, to be honest. Yeah, I was thinking three. So four is definitely a surprise. And it is just four officially.But I mean, I'm not complaining about that. Certainly, I think more than four would have been pretty aggressive. But yeah.

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The guts have six in the first 11 weeks, by the way.

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So I think they had like six last year too. So yeah, that worked out great.

Speaker 3616.38s - 618.2s

That worked out fantastic, right?

Speaker 2619s - 704.6s

But yeah, the Falcons ORG have quite a tough opening stretch, a pivotal opening stretch you could could say, in the first six weeks where they will face the Pittsburgh Steelers at home in week one. And they kind of have to win that game, right? We'll come back and break these down, of course, a little bit more when Aaron gets here and stuff too, but just sort of a quick glance. Week two, they're in Philadelphia GPE for Monday night football, which is the Eagles were a beatable team last year,particularly on the defensive side of the ball. But going to Philly GPE is tough. Like, that's always a tough out when you have to go to Philly GPE. That's one of the toughest stadiums to play in. No questions asked. And then immediately another primetime game.They go, they face the Chiefs at home on Sunday night football in week three in what is probably going to be the most watch Falcons game of the season more than likely unless we make the playoffs. And then we're at home in week four to face the Saints ORG. I know there was speculation that it would be at the Saints ORG. I'm glad that it's not at the Saints in week four. That would be especially tough.Week five, it's the Bucks ORG also at home. And then at Carolina Panthers in week six. So we get the full NFC South gauntlet there and three tough opponents, two really tough opponents. And the Steelers ORG, you know, who knows exactly how tough they'll be. But the Falcons, the Falcons have a really hard time beating the Steelers ORG.So, I mean, it's just like a universal thing. Steelers and commanders, the Falcons ORG just seem like they can't beat those teams when they do play them.

Speaker 3705.38s - 785.06s

I mean, hey, first game, Arthur Smith PERSON is coming back. So, you know, we'll see if he has a point to prove. And, you know, we'll see how that Steelers ORG. The one thing I do like is the Steelers, you know, Arthur Smith PERSON or no, this is a brand new offensive coordinator for them, and this is their first game, first official game under that offense coordinator, just like the Falcons, also having their first game with a new play caller.So, you know, it does take a little bit of adjusting, but at the very least the Falcons ORG won't be at a complete disadvantage in that of, you know, going up against a team with, you know, season play calling that, you know, already has that continuity. And then week two against the Eagles, it is very difficult in Philadelphia GPE. But the one thing I do like, the Eagles ORG will be very reliant on their new cornerback duo that they got in the first couple rounds.And, you know, we know that cornerback is one of the most difficult positions to adjust to going from college to the NFL ORG. Maybe arguably the most difficult position outside of quarterback. You know, maybe left tackle is in there somewhere. But definitely the Eagles had what the worst passing defense in the league last year. And I think it

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will take some time for Cooper to Gene and and uh you know some of these young cornerbacks for the Eagles ORG to to sort of get into their rhythm and just sort of start adjusting so you do it is

Speaker 3799.28s - 809.88s

preferable to face them early on as opposed to you know in one of those double digit weeks where they they probably will already have their footing under them yeah yeah I agree and welcome in face them early on as opposed to, you know, in one of those double-digit weeks DATE where they probably will already have their footing under them. Yeah, yeah, I agree. And welcome in, Aaron,

Speaker 2809.96s - 814.88s

as well. How are you doing, man? I'm doing all right, guys. How are things on your end?

Speaker 6815.26s - 819.24s

Good, good. Well, it was funny because when I, like, I think both of us, when I asked you to be on the show

Speaker 2819.24s - 822.48s

last week, it was like, oh, yeah, like, that's fine. Like, we'll just do it next week, whatever.

Speaker 0822.56s - 828.54s

And then it's like, oh, yeah, the schedule is also coming out that night. So really, I just, like, snuckered you in to being on my show instead of doing yours.

Speaker 6828.64s - 830.82s

So it was really just a grand master plan on my part.

Speaker 0830.98s - 832.78s

But happy to have you.

Speaker 6832.84s - 840.92s

Happy to have you. I'm sure I'm going to get an email from somebody at Lockdown saying, why are you doing another person's show instead of your show when the schedule drops?

Speaker 2841.66s - 843.12s

Because you're a man of honor.

Speaker 6843.38s - 844.34s

You know, that's what you tell them.

Speaker 2844.42s - 846.14s

Yeah, you got to respect the networking.

Speaker 6846.4s - 848.22s

We direct all of their complaints to Dave.

Speaker 2848.34s - 848.82s

Just give them.

Speaker 3849.54s - 852.66s

That's what I do when anyone's complaining about the Falcons ORG.

Speaker 6852.9s - 853.12s

Yeah,

Speaker 3853.22s - 854.54s

at the Falcholic himself,

Speaker 2854.74s - 875.94s

Mr. Dave Chote PERSON. So, yes, so we were, we were just talking, Aaron,about how surprising it is to see not one, not two, not three, but four primetime games for the Falcons ORG in this schedule after having zero last year. I was personally expecting maybe two or three, but four primetime games for the Falcons in this schedule after having zero last year. I was personally expecting maybe two or three, but four is a little bit shocking to me.What do you think about so many prime time games right off the bat for this new Kirk Cousins era in Atlanta ORG?

Speaker 6876.76s - 981.88s

Yeah, I mean, I was thinking like three. I figured they would get a Thursday night because they didn't get one last year. I figured they would get at least one Monday night and maybe a Sunday night game. And so getting two Monday night games and especially a late season against the Raiders ORG, like, ooh, okay.ESPN is really, you know, fiend in for Aiden O'Connell PERSON versus, you know, Kirk PERSON cousin's still going to be? I don't know. But like, it is one of those things where, like, yes, the Falcons are going to get a lot of hype going into the season, and either they're going to live up to that hype very early on,or they will be brunt of everybody's jokes because we know the history of Kurt Cousins on primetime is not great. We know the Falcons have not been particularly great over the last five or six years when it's come to primetime games. And so, you know, people always wonder, like, the average fan is like, I love primetime games. And I'm like, I hate primetime games. A, because you got to cover them and you got to stay up to like one o'clock or two o'clock in the morning sometimes to cover these games. Like, I'm old, guys. I want to be in bed by 11 o'clock at the latest, okay? And then the second thing isthe Falcons ORG always find a way to embarrass us, and that's the worst thing. Like, my most hated game last year was the Jaguars ORG game because everybody was watching, at least everybody that got up that morning to watch that game in London. And the fact that they lost in the most embarrassing way possible, like piss me off for like the rest of the week.And like watching this Falcons team, if they lay eggs on these primetime games, especially early in the season of the week and like watching this falcons NORP team if they lay eggs on these primetime games especially early in the season with all this hype and all this drama that has gone on this all season like it's not going to be fun it's not going to be fun but hey if they win these games then it's going to be the party of the century yeah yeah it's either it's

Speaker 2981.88s - 1059.22s

going to be sink or swim for the Falcons ORG, obviously. These first, you know, we were talking about the first six in particular is just a critical stretch, right? I mean, you kind of have to win week one against the Steelers ORG because, and the Falcons do a very bad job at being the Steelers typically. But, you know, maybe they could start turning that around with the new staff and everything. Then you got to go on the road to Philly in week two for prime time. Then you got to play the Chiefs, So, you know, good luck with that. At least it is Saints ORG at homein week four. I know there was a rumor that it was going to be at New Orleans at week four. It's like that's just like that would just be mean. Like on the end, it's like, oh yeah, go to Philly, play the Chiefs ORG. Now go on the road to face your biggest rival too. Like all in that three games, three weeks stretch. So thankfully they didn't do that. Then you get the bucks at home on Thursday night football. It seems like a hedge on the NFL's part, like, okay, we're going to get Kirk Cousins PERSON early just in case anything goes sideways with this team.But, yeah, I mean, it's a critical stretch. Like, and on, I know you were mentioning as well. It's like they kind of have to come out of that stretch at least three and three to have a realistic shot. Now, the final stretch is pretty winnable, the last three games in particular, but it's going to be a tough start. They could easily be 0 and 3 to start the season, and, you know, we could be havingjust a complete and total meltdown. Yes.

Speaker 61059.62s - 1075.76s

And, you know, it's a good thing to be in the podcast business, right? Right, Kevin PERSON? You know, where fans are melting down and they want to go somewhere where someone can, you know, it's a good thing to be in the podcast business, right? Right, Kevin PERSON? You know, where fans are melting down and they want to go somewhere where someone can, you know, they can hear someone venting their frustrations. And, you know, it's just like it's a great, it's great time to be a podcast. That's awesome.

Speaker 31076s - 1092.44s

Those are our highest huge shows last year and, you know, in all years, honestly, when the team, you know, embarrasses themselves and, you know, everyone wants to come in and listen to the hosts just losing their mind about it. Yes, I will say we have a new record,

Speaker 21092.44s - 1116.38s

and it is the Michael Pennock's, you know, draft show, like round one of the NFL ORG draft this year is our new record holder at 10,000 views, I believe. So shout out to everyone who joined us for that and everyone who tuned in later to watch the reaction over and over again. But yeah, other than that, it's been mostly the really bad loss. I remember the failed onside kick most of all. That

Speaker 31116.38s - 1121.7s

one was the most legendary post game show. It was a big one. That was a good one. But you guys

Speaker 51121.7s - 1125.14s

and lost a lot too, because it was like 1 p.m.

Speaker 21131.88s - 1132.84s

You know, people were, people were mad that they had to wake up early to watch the Falcons ORG do that.

Speaker 31132.94s - 1133.88s

Yeah.

Speaker 21134.76s - 1135.42s

It's great day. It was a great day.

Speaker 61135.72s - 1136.26s

It was a great Sunday.

Speaker 21136.84s - 1137.66s

Yeah, it was a beautiful day.

Speaker 31137.74s - 1138.86s

And we had to endure that.

Speaker 61139.12s - 1139.5s

So, yeah.

Speaker 21140.3s - 1144.94s

But yeah, the first three, the first three, Steelers ORG, I feel like they kind of have to win that.

Speaker 61145.18s - 1147.94s

Just to like, you have to exercise the Arthur Smith PERSON demon.

Speaker 21148.06s - 1170.84s

And the best way to do that is to just beat him face to face, right? And I don't know about you guys. I don't have high hopes for beating the Eagles in Philly or the Chiefs ORG. Like, as hopeful as I am about the team, I think like expecting wins those two weeks would be a mistake. Like, I think you're setting yourself up. If you think this team is going to weeks would be a mistake. Like I think you're setting yourself up. If you think this team is going to start better than one and two,I think you're setting yourself up to be upset.

Speaker 31172.22s - 1174.78s

You're not wrong, Kevin, but imagine if they're three and no.

Speaker 21175.44s - 1176.8s

I can imagine it.

Speaker 31176.92s - 1180.68s

Oh, no, I'm just imagine how we're going to be.

Speaker 61180.98s - 1183.62s

Yes, we will be very hype if they're three and oh.

Speaker 71183.9s - 1185.34s

Yes, I think everyone will. I'm just going to be poking holes in the three and a nine. Yeah, we will be very hype if they're three and oh. Yes, I think everyone will.

Speaker 61185.38s - 1187.18s

I'm just going to be poking holes in the three and no.

Speaker 21188.28s - 1195.68s

Everyone will be too positive. Aaron will have gone full contrarian at that point. Well, they barely beat the Chiefs ORG.

Speaker 61195.88s - 1196.7s

They beat them 20.

Speaker 21196.7s - 1198.02s

That wasn't impressive, yeah.

Speaker 61198.2s - 1199.88s

Patch Bohomes PERSON, how good is he really, you know?

Speaker 31201.72s - 1202.08s

Yeah.

Speaker 21202.22s - 1204.06s

Are the Chiefs best days behind them?

Speaker 31204.06s - 1204.7s

I think so.

Speaker 21204.9s - 1210.76s

This is the inevitable, yeah yeah we're going to get like oh the falcons they beat like the diminished chiefs you know this is like they're on the way out

Speaker 31210.76s - 1218.02s

that was old now actually he's by his new uh by his new relationship which i guess it's not new

Speaker 21218.02s - 1224.3s

new anymore yeah that's old news now it's old news now but yeah um so it's going to be in the building

Speaker 31224.3s - 1225.12s

uh there you go yeah that'll be that'll be uh something i know will be, yeah. So it's going to be in the building of for Sunday.

Speaker 21225.12s - 1248.9s

There you go. Yeah, that'll be, that'll be something. I know Will will be there if Taylor Swift PERSON's going to be there. So we'll find a way to get credentialed for that game. But, yeah, I think no matter what, you're probably going into week four, like, with week four being a must win.And, like, it's a division game, so they're kind of all of us twins. But it's like, that game, I feel like is, like, if they're one and two going into that game it's like we got

Speaker 31248.9s - 1254.06s

we got to win this one it it's interesting too because i think the saints will be in the same

Speaker 21254.06s - 1259.36s

situation because i was glancing at their schedule a week one against the panthers NORP is like

Speaker 31259.36s - 1264.9s

should be a gimmie for them should i mean you never know who knows they lost the panthers last

Speaker 21264.9s - 1265.1s

year and go we lost the Panthers last year.

Speaker 31265.94s - 1266.58s

And go pan.

Speaker 21266.58s - 1268.3s

We lost the Panthers last year.

Speaker 31269.6s - 1275.52s

But then after that, they go to Dallas, you know, the Cowboys ORG are, you know, for as bad

Speaker 21275.52s - 1280.76s

as they looked in the playoffs, the Cowboys were actually a really solid team last year.

Speaker 31281.32s - 1283.52s

And, you know, I think that will be their home opener.

Speaker 71283.88s - 1284.36s

I don't know.

Speaker 31284.4s - 1304.38s

I didn't see who their week one game is. And then they know, I think that will be their home opener. I don't know. I didn't see who their first week one game is. And then they play the Eagles week three. So we could be in a situation of Falcons versus Saints and a sort of desperation bowl of week four to not go down to one in three. And, you know, that that'll add, that'll add some extra oom to that matchup. Yeah.

Speaker 71305.54s - 1311.02s

I would just say, yeah, I think those divisional games in weeks four, five, six, and eight,

Speaker 61311.94s - 1348.56s

you know, like, I think you kind of have to go like three and one in those games. Like, you kind of have to because, again, we're assuming, let's say you assume you start the season one and two, right? And you're like, okay, well, it's not the best start or 0 and 3 or whatever, right, but not the best start. We know Kirk Cousness PERSON historically doesn't win a lot of games in September. He usually gets the thing rolling in October and November. But like, if you start in a hole, like basically you're in a position where it's like you haveto win the division, right? Like that's the goal. Like everybody's high on the Falcons ORG, not because people think the Falcons ORG are one of the best teams in football, or at least outside the state of Georgia, right?

Speaker 71349.56s - 1352.82s

Most people are high on the Falcons ORG because they think they're the best team in the bad division.

Speaker 61353.6s - 1403.8s

And so you can't afford to lose at home to the Saints in week four. You can't afford to lose on a short week to Tampa Bay GPE, the defending. Like, if you want to take the title from the bucks, you've got to win that game in a short week at home, right? And then you have to go on the road with rest, beat Carolina ORG. So you kind of have to come, like you said, like regardless of how the first three games, you kind of are in a situation where if this team wants to maintain control of their destiny, they have to kind of win three, three games in a row from weeksfour, five, and six at the very least. Like, maybe they can drop one of those, but if you drop one of those, then you have to beat the box in week eight on the road, you know? So it's one of those things where, like, however the season starts, like, once you get into that October groove, like they have to start, they have to be hitting their stride once we get to October or this season's going to go down the toilet.

Speaker 31404.4s - 1407.7s

Yeah, because one's nine and ten right after that against the Cowboys ORG,

Speaker 61407.86s - 1412.94s

which, again, I think I may have a higher view of the Cowboys ORG the most people, honestly.

Speaker 31413.46s - 1436.74s

But yeah, I do think that that's a really good team. And then you have to go to New Orleans GPE right after that, which I'm sure any objective fan would probably be splitting the Saints ORG games, you know, the home and away. I mean, you know, not me. I'm not interested in being objective. I'm never interested in picking the Saints or the Falcons ORG.So we're going to win that game.

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Speaker 31561.98s - 1641.62s

Yeah, it is, the schedule lightens up a lot at the end of the season. Like the last, after the bye week, and I like the week 12 by, I really like the week 12 by. After that, you get the chargers, which, you know, we'll see what they are with Harbaugh. Their wide receiver room is, you know, leaves a lot to be desired. But I'm a huge, Justin Herbert guy. So, you know, we'll lot to be desired, but I'm a huge Justin Herbert guy. So, you know, we'll see what they're up to at that point.And then at the Vikings, at the Raiders versus the Giants, at the commanders and versus the Panthers ORG, I think the Falcons ORG will probably be favorites in every one of those games. But for those games to matter, you have to earn that by, you know, keeping your head above water up until the by week. And if you're around that 500 mark or maybe even above 500 at the buy week, you are in a golden, you have a golden opportunity to really sort of rattle off some winsagainst some, you know, what looked to be inferior opponents on paper en route to a possible division win and en route to some serious momentum going into the playoffs. Now, I know that's a long way down the road, but, you know, that's what we're here for right now. The schedule just got released and we're here to give some immediate takes. Yes,

Speaker 21641.66s - 1687.84s

we're here to talk about the road. We know the road now, that the gauntlet has been laid. We have to now figure out how they're going to navigate it. So, you know, the first six weeks are critical, that's for sure. The Seahawks game in week seven, I think that one's kind of a toss up to me. Like, you know, I think the Seahawks ORG could be good again or they could struggle. You know, they're kind of a hot and cold team right now. But I think that's a tough one. But it being at home is helpful. You know, I think, you know,splitting with the Bucks and Saints ORG is probably what a reasonable fan would predict. You know, by the time we get to week eight and week 10, we'll probably have a better idea of those two teams. But, you know, the Cowboys ORG at home, like the Cowboys are a beatable team, but they're just, they're really good in the regular season. They typically win a lot of regular season games.Where they fail is the playoffs year after year.

Speaker 01688.06s - 1702.78s

But, you know, maybe we get a chance to face them in the playoffs. But I think beating the Cowboys in the regular season is quite hard. And then, of course, we get the Broncos in Week 11. It's always hard to go to Denver GPE and win. I mean, that's just a universal thing. But that should be a winnable game in theory.

Speaker 21703.88s - 1784.8s

So, yeah, I mean, I think you're hoping to go into week 12, like 500. Like, I think if you go into week 12 at 500, you're in a really good position to be able to make the playoffs. I think if you're, like, well below 500, like, you're two or three games below 500 going into week 11. You're probably cooked at that point. I don't know that you can make that up. So, I mean, you'd have to win out.So, which they could, maybe. I mean, that final stretch, those last six, you know, maybe at Minnesota GPE will up to see how they're doing. Maybe the chargers will have to see how they're doing. But I think the, the final four on that list are all very beatable. And again, the Falcons ORG don't beat the commanders. Like, they've really struggled to beat the commanders over the last several years for whatever reason. Now it's a completely different coaching staff there now. It's also completely mostly different coaching staff here inAtlanta ORG too. So like how important are those stats really? But they just, they have a really hard time beating the commanders. There's no question about that. So yeah, I mean that that second set of games like seven to 11, that's probably where we're going to figure out if this team is going to be able to make it or not. And over the last several years, that week 7 to 11 DATE phase is typically when this team has fallen, is like falling off a cliff. Like that's, that's been when we've kind of figured out that they're not going anywhere.So I know last year they kept it going a little bit longer than that, but, you know, not much longer than that. We were pretty much depressed, I think, by the time we went into the buy week. Yeah.

Speaker 61786.16s - 1928.54s

I think that's true. So, depressed, I think, by the time we went into the buy week. Yeah, I think that's true. So, yeah, I think it's going to be a rough start, and then they have to kind of get their group going in the middle of season. Because it's not going to get easy, but it's like those are games that they have to win. If they're going to be a playoff team, they have to beat those sort of mid-tier teams, like pretty much the rest of the division like Tampa Bay, New Orleans, you know, Seattle, Minnesota, the Chargers, right? Like, it, like, you, like, you can't go like 500 against those teams or, you know, less than that and think that you're going to make the playoffs. Like, you kind of have to go like, I don't know, whatever the record is, but like something where it, you have several wins in your favor as opposed to just like barely inching along. So even though the Falcons, by all accounts, have an easy schedule, right, on paper because it's just like a lot of lower tier teams and a lot of mid-tier teams and like three good teams in Philly, KC and Dallas ORG. But, you know, outside of that, those are the only teams that you look at are like legit,like most people would probably think they're playoff teams. And then after that, there's a lot of winnable games. And, you know, the problem with the Falcons, the last several years have been they have a tendency to lose those games. And as you said, Kevin PERSON, like you're hoping with this new regime that those are games that they just win, you know, again, I don't think our, I think, you know, stock up on your blood pressure medicine because, like, it's the falcons NORP.So there's never going to be a time in our lives where you're just like, oh, this is smooth sailing for the Atlanta Falcons ORG. But, like, if they can just find ways to win those close games and you hope with the improved quarterback play and the improved play calling and we'll see what the defense is. Like I'm not expecting the defense to be improved from where they were last year. I'm thinking they're going to take a step back.But I'm hoping the offense can take two steps forward that will compensate for that because of the upgrade at the quarterback and the play calling. But yeah, it's, it's, I just, I already know, like, you know, if you're low on blood pressure medicine, like, stock up because like it's going to be your heart rate, these fourth quarter games are it's always going to come down to the final five minutes like it did the last couple of years and unfortunately they lost too many of those games and hopefully now they'll start winning them. Yeah. No, I agree.

Speaker 21928.62s - 1974.7s

I think it's like there's a couple of games that I think could be defining games. You know, obviously all the divisional games are important. But to me like from that first from the stretch before the buy, I think I circle that Seahawks ORG game as being like a good sort of barometer where the Seahawks ORG are another playoff hopeful I think with Gino PERSON their team that you know is hoping that they've improved as well they're hoping to have gotten healthier on the offensive line last year they had just a brutalstretch of offensive line injuries so I think that you know we'll get to see this team tested against some very good teams early in the Eagles and the Chiefs but the Seahawks I think is think, is one where it's like, you know, if you're basing this off last year, you're like, oh, the Falcons ORG aren't winning that game. But if you're basing it off of hope, it's like, oh, maybe we should expect them to beat the Seahawks ORG. But, you know, Audum PERSON.

Speaker 31975.18s - 1976.7s

Yeah, we did.

Speaker 71977.4s - 1978.42s

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Speaker 31979.32s - 1980.04s

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Speaker 21980.22s - 1981.24s

Yeah, easy tub.

Speaker 31983.36s - 2056.46s

It is just some quirks about the schedule. Three of the last four games before the buy week are all on the road. And then the one home game is against Dallas ORG, which could very easily also feel like a road game, depending on how the team is doing at that point. But yeah, I haven't really, I mean, I've only been able to glance at the falcons NORP schedule.I'm going to go and try to break down the rest advantage in an annual article I do. But I did just look at the Chargers ORG schedule. And one big advantage for the Falcons ORG, because I do feel like that's another one of those sort of toss-up games that the team could have depending on what Harbaugh does over there because I think the Chargers ORG yeah they can't be as bad as they were with Brandon Staley but I just don't know like Harbaugh doesn't seem very modern in his approach to the gameso we'll see what happens over there. But the Falcons have a buy week before that Chargers ORG game. And the week before, the Chargers have to play the Ravens on Monday night football, which seems like a very brutal test.

Speaker 02062.22s - 2066.68s

So they'll be on even less, like, rest, so to speak. And they'll be coming off of a very, probably, you know, emotional matchup

Speaker 32066.68s - 2070.72s

against one of the heavy hitters of the AFC.

Speaker 72070.72s - 2074.72s

So, you know, it's just, it's not just a schedule, right?

Speaker 02074.84s - 2080.8s

It's not just who you're playing, but there are, you know, certain factors in play of, you know,

Speaker 32080.86s - 2129.04s

who are you playing before you face, you know, one of these teams, like which of these teams, if any, are going to be coming off of a bye week when they play? You know, just like last year, remember the Falcons were playing the Tennessee GPE Titans in Tennessee, a game where they were favored, but the Titans were coming off of a biweek in week seven, and Mike Brable PERSON had literally never lost coming off of a bye week except for you know in the divisional round of the playoffs so we'll call it regular season by weeks uh so you know those are just some of the quirks that i'm really looking forward to sort oflooking at and breaking down after you know after we're done with the show and, you know, putting that together into an article and publishing it. Yeah.

Speaker 22129.28s - 2147.86s

No, I think that's all what, that's a good one. And I think it's something that we've learned makes a big difference in terms of point spreads and stuff like that, too. It's one of those sort of underrated things for sure. So that's, that's definitely an interesting, uh, quirk of the scheduling to always keep an eye. I know last year they got absolutely hosed by the rest. So I guess we'll see if this year is,

Speaker 32148.16s - 2157.82s

it can't be worse than last year, I don't think. No, it's not possible because last year they had, they did not have a single game on the schedule where they had any sort of an advantage restwise,

Speaker 22157.96s - 2158.98s

not even a single day.

Speaker 32159.3s - 2185.16s

And I know like based on what you said about the Chargers ORG game, it looks like they're definitely going to have an advantage of that one. Yeah, yeah, they're definitely going to have at least that one. But yeah, last year they had three games, the commanders, the Titans, and the Jets ORG, where they were at a sort of disadvantage because the other team had at least one extra day of us. They lost two of those games, and then they, you know, of course, beat the Jets ORG barely in New Yorkin that, you know, course beat the Jets barely um in new york in that

Speaker 22185.16s - 2196s

you know rock fight yeah against zack wilson but yeah in 2022 it was uh they had three or yeah

Speaker 32196s - 2231.14s

they had three russ advantage games and then three you know disadvantages so you know it's hopefully it evens out a little bit hopefully they don't face face anyone who's coming off of a bi-week this year. Also, I think the NFL ORG did realize that they're going to stop doing that thing with us and the Saints where they schedule a buy week right before that matchup for both teams. That happened each of the last two years. So I think the NFL ORG is sort of like finished doing that.So the Falcons ORG sort of didn't have any advantage, you know, coming off of the buy week against anyone last year

Speaker 22231.14s - 2281.34s

because the Saints were also coming off of bi week DATE. That's right. Yeah. Yeah, look at the rest of the schedule. It seems like if they're going to, if they do fall behind, like the place to make up ground would be that final stretch, like weeks 13 through 18, where they've got, like you said, the Chargers ORG, but they're coming off a buy, so they should have an advantage there.They're at the Vikings, which, you know, we'll see how quickly they're able to hit the ground running with JJ McCarthy. At the Raiders ORG, you know, again, that's a game you expect to win. At the commanders, again, you would expect to win that game. But, like, you know, we'll have to see how the commanders are doing at that point, and then the Panthers ORG at home. You're expecting to win that game. I'm not going to put any caveats on that. That's when you've got to have. So if they do fall behind, you know, Aaron, how do you feel about their ability to finish strongat the end of the season here and potentially make up ground if they have fallen a bit behind going into the buy week?

Speaker 62282.12s - 2375.62s

Yeah, I mean, generally when you look at these schedules and you sort of see oh they got a soft stretch down to stretch and they should be able to hit their stride and win a bunch of games and as i suggested that's been the case a couple of times the last couple of years and it hasn't lived up to expectations so i've kind of learned my lesson of like not putting too much stock and like oh they'll make up all those games at the end of the season. If, you know, they find themselves five and six going into their by week or something like that.And they'll win five out of their last six games and get to 10 and seven or something like that. And that works out every single time. But yeah, I do agree with you. Like, again, you're getting a bunch of these matchups after the by week where you're facing teams that, at least on paper, are kind of mid-tier NFL ORG teams, right? Like, you know, maybe one or two of these teams may surprise us and potentially, you know, sneak into a wildcard spot like, you know, the Chargers or somebody like that or Washington GPE maybe. If, you know, Dan Quinn can, you know, have Jaydon Daniels playing like RG3, you know, back in the day. But again, you look at the charge, you look at the Vikings, you look at the Raiders ORG, you look at the Giants, commanders, Panthers ORG, like, I think every single one of those teams,their projected win total is less than seven and a half this year, seven and a half or less. So, like, all of these teams are projected to be sub-500 teams. And if the Falcons ORG are supposed to be an above 500 teams again, yeah, you should be able to win at least four or five out of those six games again, you know, Falcons running the table. I'm not going to bet on that.

Speaker 22375.72s - 2387.58s

Yeah. What, this 2016 was the last time that happened? Like, you know, good luck. Hoping on that. But yeah, if you can win like five out of your last six, and in theory, again, they should, right?

Speaker 62387.68s - 2426.68s

Like, you know, again, we can debate the quarterback advantage in the Chargers ORG game, right? But, you know, theoretically you should have the better quarterback in those five last five games. And, you know, you're not dealing with teams that are like juggernauts on defense in those weeks, right?It's not to say any of these teams are pushovers. But, yeah, I do think you look at that stretch and you like it. But, you know, as Anan says, Kevin PERSON, you said, like, it's a long way away. And you need to, you can't count on we'll just make it up at the end of the season. You know. Yeah, yeah, exactly. You can never, you don't want you can't count on, we'll just make it up at the end of the season, you know.

Speaker 22427.04s - 2544.24s

Yeah, yeah, exactly. You can never, you can never, you can never, to go into the final six games.We're like, well, we got a win five out of six and we're cooked. That has not worked out well for the Falcons ORG, except for one year maybe,but it, it should theoretically be winnable. And like, if you look at the way this team is, like, this is a team with a new quarterback, with the new coaching staff, with the new offensive coordinator, new system, all that stuff.It's feasible that they're going to start slow. I mean, that, that is, I would say it's more than feasible. Like, I think it's realistic that they're probably going to start slow. Now, they could also, sometimes you also see teams sort of catch the NFL ORG by surprise because they haven't really been fully scouted, you know, that no one's seen the Falcons ORG with cousins or anything like that.So they could have a little bit of an advantage from that. But I think this is the type of situation where we could see like a win in week one. And then everyone's like, okay, we're okay. And then it's like, oh, they lose to the Eagles and Chiefs ORG. It's like, uh-oh. And then, you know, get that win against the Saints ORG.Everyone's back on board. And it becomes very much like a back and forth sort of thing. And then I think this is a situation where you do have a new quarterback in here and a new coaching staff and all this, where you could see like, okay, they've finally all gotten on the same page. They're finally firing on all cylinders that they could make this sort of December run that we'vebeen hoping for them to make like the past three years. Maybe there is a reasonable expectation that because of the soft schedule here, because of all the things that we were just talking about, that this is a situation that could actually be a reasonable expectation of, okay, this is a situation where you're expecting this team to finish strong. And that's what you want, typically.You want to be hitting your stride going into the playoffs. You don't want to peak early and then, you know, flame out at the end let me look at the Eagles last year that's that's exactly what happened to them did all their high seed didn't do them one one bit of good when they lost the books or whatever it was so I mean um not great situation there um so I'm certainly hopeful of that but oh no what do you think about that possibility that we do see this team sort of struggle

Speaker 32544.24s - 2570.24s

through the first part of the season and then get that that strong finish we've been just hoping for year after year i mean i'm expecting it and uh just real quick jason gaines you're correct the game against the jets was against tim boyle and traversing somehow it's worse yeah yeah much much more um but yeah the thing is it's sort of even like maybe even works out in your favor a little bit.

Speaker 22570.24s - 2573.48s

I'm looking at a lot of things that I really like about the schedule.

Speaker 32573.94s - 2580.58s

And getting those really tough games out of the way early, like that Chiefs ORG game where, you know,

Speaker 22580.98s - 2588.06s

that's one of those games where even if you're hitting your stride, you're likely going to lose that game because the Chiefs ORG are just that good.

Speaker 32588.34s - 2595.54s

So you might as well, you know, lose that game before you hit your strike, you know, so to speak, if you have a choice.

Speaker 22595.7s - 2598.9s

You know, ideally you don't lose, you know, lose it at all.

Speaker 32599.3s - 2601.08s

You know, it's not a person.

Speaker 22601.08s - 2603.84s

Realistically speaking, yeah, I think we could probably pencil that one in.

Speaker 32605.04s - 2606.02s

Yeah, realistically speaking. But, you know, it's one of those things where, you know yeah, I think we could probably pencil that one in. Realistically speaking.

Speaker 22606.2s - 2608.66s

But, you know, it's one of those things where, you know,

Speaker 32608.68s - 2627.04s

if this team is like two and one or three and one, then, you know, it'll be off to the races. We'll be banging that playoff drum very loudly. But a couple of other things that I really like about the schedule. One is not many cold weather games.

Speaker 02627.64s - 2668.66s

There's, and, you know, that's something that always matters when you are a dome team, especially one from the south. At Denver in November, which, you know, could be worse playing Denver later in the season. And the other one will be at the commanders. That's late December. That'll easily be the coldest game they have to play in. And the other thing is they only have to go out west for twogames. One of them is the Raiders. But the other one, they go out west against the Broncos ORG. And then they have a buy week the very next week after that. So there's not really going to be a disadvantage to having to go out west when it comes to that geographical, that time zone perspective.

Speaker 32669.2s - 2693.18s

So I feel like the NFL really did the Falcons ORG a big favor when it comes to some of these small quirks that I was mentioning a little bit earlier. Like, you know, it would be, you know, a bit more brutal if you had to go to Denver and then you had to come right back home to play the Saints or something the next week. But now, you know, you get the week off after that. Yeah.

Speaker 22693.54s - 2828.82s

Yeah. I mean, I think this is, you know, the Falcons ORG do start off with a rough stretch. But otherwise, I think this is a pretty favorable schedule. I mean, obviously it's a weaker strength of schedule given what we, what we saw from these teams last year. And you never know how that'll play off. Last year, it played out exactly as expected. It was projected to be one of the weakest schedules, and it finished as one of the weakest schedules.So, you know, it, this is definitely, I think, a subtle sign that the NFL ORG is not actively trying to screw the Falcons ORG over. Like I think you could argue they were doing last year. Like Audun said, there was absolutely no advantage in Atlanta's schedule last year whatsoever. They were basically behind in terms of rest in pretty much every game, like even or behind in every single game.And if you don't think the NFL ORG cares about that type of stuff, I think that you're wrong. I think they have people on this very meticulously laying this thing out. Whereas this year, I think you could look at it as like, it's a, it's, these things don't, like, I don't think they affect whether a team is likely to make the playoffs or not. But it's a subtle nudge, I think towards the Falcons ORG being a playoff team. And I think, I think we're all like ready to be like I don't think anyone is is on theSaints anymore. I think we've all, I think people have learned their lesson after the last year with New Orleans GPE where it's like, this is a team that's just kind of spiraling. They're not like bad enough to get the quarterback of the future. And they're not really good enough to do anything either. They just kind of hover around 500 and and they'll beat some teams up and they'll lose some bad games. And the bucks are just kind of like the same thing.I think the bucks are maybe better coached. I mean, they lost Dave Canales PERSON who like rejuvenated that offense. Can they just like keep that going? Can they just like keep the Baker Renaissance going another year with a different coach? I'm not so sure about that. I think the NFL ORG is probably wanting to see a different team from the NFC South in the playoffs. It's not the bucks that are like barely treading water above 500.It's not the Saints. And I don't think anyone's expecting the Panthers ORG to do anything. So if not them, why not us, right? Why not the Falcons ORG who've got their shiny new quarterback and, you know, what looks like it could be an exciting group of weapons? Why not, why not us, Aaron? Why can't the Falcons ORG make the playoffs with the schedule?

Speaker 62829.9s - 2834.22s

Yeah. Why can't the Falcons ORG make the playoffs? Well, because of the Falcons, no. Other than that,

Speaker 22834.3s - 2841.06s

yet. Other than that, yeah. I do think, like, this, this is it. Like, you know, because it...

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Speaker 62969.54s - 3024.88s

You know, we'll see obviously if they win this year, they're not going to have the benefits of having a soft schedule in 2025, right? If they get first place, like they're going to have a first place schedule, and that's going to be considerably harder. So, like, you look at it, you know, and it's just like the fates are aligned, right? You get the upgraded quarterback.You get the new coach. You get the new play caller. You get the self schedule that has some of these touch points that you're talking about, Kevin, that favor the Falcons ORG. Like, if they can't get it done, we've been saying this over and over again. But if they can't get it done this year, then it's like, okay, like, there's no reason for me to think they'll ever get it done at any point. So it is one of those things where it's like, yeah, this is the year because it has to be the year.Because after that point, like, I don't, who knows what's going to happen, you know, if they, if they can't get, you know, the Michael Pennix chance are going to get very, very loud if they can't make the playoffs this year. I mean, they're going to be very loud.

Speaker 33025.12s - 3029.22s

Michael Pennix chance are going to be allowed to be a training camp.

Speaker 63029.42s - 3031.96s

Yeah, they lose week two against the Eagles ORG in prime time.

Speaker 23032.08s - 3034.44s

And it's like, yeah, Kirk PERSON can't hang in prime time.

Speaker 63034.48s - 3035.48s

We got to get Pennix PERSON in here.

Speaker 23036.38s - 3046.2s

To be fair to Kirk PERSON, he was playing better in prime time recently. His worst prime performance, I think, are hopefully behind him. But, yeah, it's...

Speaker 33046.2s - 3051.5s

This is the third straight year where Kurt plays the Eagles in primetime in week two, by the way.

Speaker 23051.56s - 3130.78s

So the NFL ORG absolutely loves forcing that for whatever reason. They just love to see it. They love to see that. But I think it'll be a good... Those two games early, I think will be a good, like, sort of measuring stick. Like, I don't think we're... They sort of feel like, especially the Chiefs ORG game, it's like a house moneygame. It's like no one's expecting you to win this game. We're just hoping you don't get embarrassed. So sometimes when you go into a game like that, you, you know, it's surprise. You get a surprise because it's like the team's playing loose. They're like, let's show the NFL ORG what we got and everyone's counting us out, you know, so on and so forth. You know, maybe, maybe there's a chance for a miracle there. I do think the Eagles is probably more likely, but I just think the Chief ORG's defense is too good. I think that'll just cause problems with the Falcons, and then, of course, the Chief ORG'soffense is the Chief's offense. So I think the Eagles ORG secondary in particular is beatable, so that could be an area where the Falcons ORG have an advantage. You know, if the offensive line can hold up, right? I guess we're hoping for the best there. It should be one of the strengths of the team in theory. But yeah, I don't know. I mean, like we're not going to go game by game. We're going to say that for next week's show. But I mean, yeah, I could probably see that that 10 win sort of outlook. I mean,just first glance at the schedule, Aaron, are you still sort of around that 10 win sort of area?

Speaker 63131.62s - 3152.14s

Yeah, I mean, to me, the Falcons feel like a 9 and 18. That's what they feel like. Just they have some strengths, but they have just a few too many weaknesses that makes me feel like I can feel confident saying 10 wins, like most teams that are 10 wins that usually don't have major, major flaws. Like I think the Falcons ORG do, and the one I'm pointing at is like probably the pass rush.

Speaker 53152.24s - 3191.24s

Like I just don't, I have to see it before, you know, I can believe it right now because I just don't, I don't know if Arnold Ebiketti PERSON's going to make the jump that he needs to make. And I don't know if Grady Jared and David On Yamada are going to find the fountain of youth to sort of carry the pass rush. And I don't know what the rookies are exactly going to make. And I don't know if Grady Jared and David on Yamada are going to find the fountain of youth to sort of carry the pass rush. And I don't know what the rookies are exactly going to do.Again, it could come together. But right now I got to just see it before, I believe it. So they feel like a 9 and 18, but like I could certainly, it wouldn't shock me if they won 10 games this year. Like that feels like what they should be if they live up to expectations, a 9 or 10 win team.I think they're probably sealing is probably a 12 win team. I think their floor, if, you know, things get off the rails is probably another sort of

Speaker 63191.24s - 3208.94s

seven, six or seven win type of season. So, you know, yeah, I feel like, yeah, basically, if their floor is six wins and the ceiling is 12 wins, and take the middle and that's probably they'll they'll probably win nine games that's probably yeah i don't

Speaker 23208.94s - 3212.64s

where are you sort of at first glance at the schedule what do you think in in terms of the

Speaker 33212.64s - 3258.06s

win loss column here i just very quickly went game by game of where i think the falcons NORP will win and won't and will lose and i came away saying, you know what, I can, I can see this team winning 11 games. Like, possibly they probably even should. But knowing the Falcons ORG, they always lose that one game that's just absolutely deteriorating every single season, no matter what. So, you know, looking at it, they're probably going to, you know, lose that game in Washington GPE or something that's really going to piss us off.So I would probably very, very early, you know, without knowing anything now, us being in May, I would probably go with 10, 10 wins. Yeah, I think that's fair.

Speaker 23258.06s - 3416.48s

Yeah, I think I'm seeing, I think if I, if they win, if they win out over the last six, I think they'll win 10 or more games. I think if they can, if they can get that hit their stride after the buy week and finish strong, I think they'll get to 10 plus wins. I think if they lose one or two games, like if they lose more than a game in that last stretch, they're probably under 10 wins again. It's just that that's where the soft part of your schedule is.Like you kind of have to get that. And this is obviously extremely early. You guys all know this with this schedule literally is, you know, minutes ago, less than an hour ago. So it's first glance type stuff. Some of these teams in this list are going to be better than we think.Some of them are going to be worse. Good luck figuring out which was. It's part of the fun every year. You know, that's what there's always worse to first teams every single year. I really don't think it's going to be the Panthers ORG in this division, but, you know, it could be one of these other teams. And again, some of these teams are going to take a step back.You know, maybe it's the Saints ORG that finally do collapse. I mean, they're going to be putting a lot on their rookie offensive line additions to keep that thing afloat without ryan ram check there i mean that that's they've lost a lot on the offensive line they haven't really been able to replace it like they need to um you know the bucks it's like i i think the biggest loss the buck suffered was dave canales i mean i think it's people kind of don't realize like he came in and and resurrected that offense from a very disappointing offense the year before. And then he left immediately.So it's like you're just, you think you can just do that again, like find another guy on staff to to take over your offense. I'm not convinced that that's going to work out super well. And again, what we've seen with Baker PERSON is he's a very capable quarterback. He can steward you for a few games, even a season. But he always is Baker PERSON at the end of the day. And it's not, his problem is just he's not very consistent. And I think he could be in line for that sort of follow-up Baker season where it's disappointing. And he's also got those games in him where he'sgoing to be great. But I'm just not, I'm not in love with the Bucks or the Saints ORG moves this off season either. I mean, I think they had decent drafts, obviously. And then the Panthers, I think the Panthers are like at least a year or two away from doing a whole lot. They invested a lot on that offensive line, so Bryce Young PERSON's not going to get beat up. But are we convinced, are we convinced that Bryce Young's going to be able to hack it in the NFL ORG?I mean, he was already a huge outlier. And then you see how much he struggled as a rookie. It's like, do we really think he's going to beat all the stuff that's against him? Do we really, like, are we really betting on this now after we've seen how much he struggled against the NFL ORG? You know, I, I, the Panthers ORG could be in a lot of trouble there.

Speaker 33417.52s - 3424.78s

The NFL doesn't seem to be betting on it because the Panthers is the only team without a single nationally televised game this year. Yeah.

Speaker 23425.66s - 3484.04s

No, I think they know that the Panthers ORG are going to be struggling, even if they get better, which it wouldn't be pretty hard not to get better from where they were last year. They still have a long way to go to win, to win a lot of games. There's no doubt about that. But, yeah, so I ultimately like it. I mean, I'm trying to figure out what my favorite sort of matchup is here.And I'm really interested to see, I think, I think a game that will be quite telling for this team is like week nine against the Cowboys ORG at home. And it's like, I'm really interested to see like, where are we going into Week 9? Like, are we in a situation where it's like, we think we can beat the Cowboys ORG? Or are we in a situation where it's like we need to beat the Cowboys ORG? Or are we in a situation where it's like, we think we can beat the Cowboys? Or are we in a situation where it's like, we need to beat the Cowboys? Or are we in a situation where we're like, we have no chance of being the Cowboys ORG. So that one to me, I have that one circled as like, this is going to be a good like temperature check for this team. Like, how do we feel going into thisgame? But Anon, do you have a favorite sort of game or sort of a matchup you have Circle FAC on the schedule?

Speaker 33484.04s - 3611.54s

Do you have a favorite sort of a game or sort of a matchup you have Circle FAC on the schedule? Not a favorite, but one game where I'm sort of a little bit worried about as a trap game, where I really hope that I see, I really hope the team doesn't sort of fall into that trap. It was week 11 at the Broncos ORG. And that could very easily be that infuriating game that the Falcons ORG lose. They have, you know, really no business of losing. The Broncos ORG, I don't think, they have a good defense.I'm not a big bone Knicks ORG believer. And the team should beat the Broncos ORG. Like, I'm circling that as a win. However, it'll be coming off a highly emotional game at New Orleans in week 10, and those games against New Orleans GPE are always highly emotional. And they'll have the biweek in week 12.So this could very easily fall into being a situation where, you know, the team is sort of looking ahead to the buy week. It'll have been a very long 10 weeks DATE at that point. The bi-weeks late DATE, they will not have, you know, had any time off, really. And, you know, I just hope that I don't see the team sort of fall into that complacency of, all right, we just can't wait to get to the by week and to finally have this week off.So where they, you know, sort of overlook the Bron we just can't wait to get to the bye week and to finally have this week off to where they, you know, sort of overlook the Broncos ORG and don't take that game not only as seriously as they should because it's always tough to win on the road in the NFL ORG, but where, you know, I can easily see the Broncos just coming away with an upset of the Falconsaren't focused enough. And I really hope that I, it'll tell me a lot about this team. If they really lock in, take care of business against Denver GPE, and then, you know, go enjoy that bywees before that final stretch because it's like, all right, you know, this team has that mentality of a division winner. They have that mentality of a true playoff team. And that'snot something that we've seen from them over the past five or six years. No, that's true. That's a

Speaker 23611.54s - 3663.12s

good one. Yeah, it's definitely something to consider it. Another little quirk that I noticed before I get Aaron's favorite game here is the Falcons actually have only two road trips on the whole schedule, which is week 10 and week 11, and then they come home for the buy week. They're away weeks 10 and 11, and then they're away in weeks 14 and 15. But otherwise, they're going back and forth between home and away, and they're nothaving extended road trips. Last year, I think they had two extended trips, or maybe even three, where they were like multiple, I think they even had three road games in a row last year or something crazy like that but um this year they're they're definitely getting opportunities to come home between their away games except for a couple times um so that is something that could be helpful too but yeah erin any any game in particularon this schedule you've got circled as either like a favorite matchup or just one that you're

Speaker 63663.12s - 3671.12s

intrigued by it's probably the week four game against the saints it that game already is a must win game regardless of

Speaker 23671.12s - 3676.92s

how it's in our hearts yeah i mean no matter what yeah you know and given how the first three games are

Speaker 63676.92s - 3696.44s

set up like it's just like they have to win that game because they have to win the saints regardless but like if they get off to a slow start, like they even more, like it's everything, like the hopes and dreams of this city ride on them beating the Saints ORG in week four is basically what I'm, so that game I have circled right now. No, that's a good one.

Speaker 23696.44s - 3733.06s

I think that like beating the Saints ORG there, it, like the Saints game is like that, that's, it's just that morale booster. Like it's worth double. Like it's triple. Like, it's a division game, so it's worth double. But it's worth triple because the morale boost from beating your hated rival at home. You know, like, that's the perfect situation for the Falcons ORG. If they've come off two losses, you know, they lost tough games to Philly and the Chiefs ORG, you know, that's like, okay, maybe they weren't expected to win. Now we've got to get back on the horse.We've got to beat the Saints ORG. And if they do, it's like, okay, well, we're all back in. It's fine. We're two and two. to beat the Saints ORG. And if they do, it's like, okay, well, we're all back in. It's fine. We're two and two. We beat the Saints ORG. Everything's fine.But, you know, they go into that, lose that game and they're one and three. Then, you know, the pitchforks are coming out.

Speaker 63733.42s - 3734.68s

Or God forbid O'D Four.

Speaker 03734.94s - 3737.34s

They got a Thursday night game right after that, you know.

Speaker 63737.34s - 3744.12s

And losing that Saints ORG game and how you, you know, how you feel about a home game on Thursday

Speaker 23744.12s - 3750.14s

night against the box, you beat the Saints ORG. Everybody's like, oh like oh we it's all good we can we can handle the short week

Speaker 63750.14s - 3754.98s

at home it's great you know we got some momentum um but if you lose that game like

Speaker 73754.98s - 3761.7s

it gets dark real fast yeah it's it's gonna be tough it's gonna be tough so yeah that that

Speaker 63761.7s - 3766.7s

game to me is kind of like you know I think week one is important just for like narrative purposes.

Speaker 73766.84s - 3772.86s

Like I know this fan base is not going to handle losing to Arthur Smith PERSON, right?

Speaker 23772.96s - 3777.58s

I know this fan base is not going to handle losing to a cheap Russell Wilson PERSON and a cheap

Speaker 63777.58s - 3791.78s

Justin Fields after they spent $100 million on Kirk Cousins PERSON, you know? Like I just know how this fan base is going to react to that game. But like, it's one game. It's not the end of the world. But like. It's not at the end of the world. But, like, that Saints ORG game is potentially the end of the world if they don't win that game. They need to.

Speaker 23791.98s - 3808.18s

They got to find a way to get it done. They got to find, I think they have to find a way to go two and two through that first four. And that's a lot of tough games. They haven't beaten the Steelers ORG. I think it was 18 years was one of the fans. I believe it was Jason Gaines PERSON, maybe, who said it.

Speaker 53809.68s - 3811.4s

Yeah, Tom PERSON or no against them.

Speaker 23811.7s - 3835.2s

And he's been the coach there for this is year 18, I think. Yeah. Now, this one's in Atlanta ORG, so that does help a little bit, obviously. I think, you know, several of those losses have been on the road. But it, you know, how much of the stats really matter? Who knows?But look, they haven't beat the Steelers in 18 years. Don't you think they're overdue? You know, they're overdue for a win against the Steelers ORG, right? So we should get that in week one. But yeah, interesting schedule.

Speaker 33835.4s - 3841.7s

Go ahead. They're definitely overdue. I think historically they have, I think, the second worst record against the Steelers ORG,

Speaker 23841.9s - 3847.8s

percentage-wise, among all opponents. I think they're only worse against the Colts ORG percentage-wise among all opponents. I think they're only worse against the Colts ORG.

Speaker 03852.64s - 3852.8s

And I think that's the biggest discrepancy between one team against another one,

Speaker 33858.22s - 3935.12s

you know, among anyone in the NFL ORG from a percentage standpoint. So, yeah, you know, they're definitely overdue. I feel like this is the year. You know, we'll be feeling good. I know Steelers Nation, you know, that they travel and that's one of those legacy teams. But also, I like that that's week one because this city always shows out for the home opener.So I like that they're facing either the Steelers or Cowboys at home in that week one matchup because I think that it's it's going to be 90% Falcons ORG fans no matter what. And, you know, I like mitigating that those road traveling fans between either the Steelers or Cowboys with that week one home opener, especially if this team, you know, looks good in training camp. And if, you know, if they look good in the preseason and, you know, you remember how hype everyone was last year, like the first two games at home, they were so electric and everything.And then, you know, wheels sort of came, came off later on. But, you know, the city, the city's going to show out in that week one not week one matchup and it's going to be up to the team to you know continue giving the city

Speaker 23935.12s - 3978.2s

something something to show out for throughout the entire season yeah yeah exactly so i'm looking forward to it this is going to be an interesting schedule we're going to break it down down in more detail next week and do more of a game-by-game breakdown. But wanted to get you guys this schedule release as quick as possible, get it to you live. And I think that's, we covered the ins and outs for the most part. Well, I know Adon PERSON's going to take it a closer look here soon with his rest advantage peak. We'll have more schedule content coming your way very soon.But we're going to go ahead and wrap up for tonight. Real quick, of course, want to thank my co-host. First of all, Anon-ekech-at-say which way. Anon PERSON, thanks again. Anything else you'd like to have the people know about before we sign off tonight?

Speaker 33978.6s - 3998.68s

Yeah, no, just the rest of advantage piece. It's an article I really like writing. I always write it up right after the schedule comes out. It's just a fun way to sort of look at the schedule from a different perspective. So yeah, definitely check that out when it publishes,

Speaker 23998.78s - 4014.06s

but I don't know when that's going to happen because I haven't started writing it yet. Well, that's okay. We'll keep an eye out for it. You'll hear it first, folks, when it does come out. But also, I want to thank Aaron Freeman at Locked on Falcons for taking the time tonight as well.Aaron, anything you're working on that you like that people know about.

Speaker 64014.7s - 4028.3s

Well, I've gotten the memo from Dave that I have to actually start writing content this off season. So we got some articles coming in the coming weeks. You know, the fire has been lit under my butt. You know, I've been taking it too easy this offseason.

Speaker 74029.3s - 4033.3s

So there will be content at the Falchaholic probably in the next week or so.

Speaker 64033.68s - 4036.6s

That should be steady leading into training camp.

Speaker 74037.38s - 4042s

And if you want to get more insight onto the schedule, if you haven't gotten your full fix,

Speaker 64042.16s - 4058.28s

you know, I'm about to go live on Lockdown Falcons ORG. And, you know, it'll be a slightly different show just because we'll talk about some matchups in each of these games that may decide whether or not the Falcons ORG can win these games and get to that magic double-digit win total over our Lockedon Falcons ORG, which would be starting

Speaker 24058.28s - 4124.34s

very shortly. Very shortly. Yes, definitely head over there after this, guys. If you, if you haven't gotten your full taste of schedule analysis, there's going to be lots more going on over there at Lockdown Falcons ORG, so check that out for sure. Thanks again to both you guys for coming on tonight. I'm Kevin Knight of Alcoholic ORG.Kevin PERSON, please like, subscribe, guys. If you haven't done so already, leave us that five-star review on your podcast platform of choice. We'll be back with another episode on Friday. Will and I were breaking down the Michael Panics pick. Will is very positive about it, about the Michael Panics pick.So this is going to be a positive take, how the Panics pick could be a home run for the Falcons ORG. So if you, I know a lot of you have been complaining that Adnan and I are two big of haters. So we got a positive take coming in for you on Friday there and we'll have even more coming your way next week. I believe next Wednesday we're probably going to do more of like a schedule season predictions sort of style of show with Eric Robinson PERSON.So lots to look forward to going forward. Check out the channel memberships. Check out the Patreon ORG. If you're interested, getting involved with the patron fantasy leagues, we're going to be firing those up in the next month or so. Thanks to everyone for joining us once again tonight on the Falcaholic Live WORK_OF_ART.We'll be back real soon with more Falcons content as we're heading into the slow season,

Speaker 04124.42s - 4144.92s

the schedule release. You know, OTAs ORG is kind of like the last sort of hurrah before training camp, but we'll have lots of cool analysis, lots of fun guests on to get us through the dark times as we get into training camp before you know it. So it'll be here soon, guys, we promise.But until then, guys, thank you so much for joining us on Falcalaqq PRODUCT for myself, for Adon and for Aaron.

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